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Steve Marsh, Lead locksmith··5 min read·
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Home Security Tips Merseyside Burglary | Why Falling Crime Is the Danger Point

Merseyside burglaries are down 56% since 2018, but Liverpool still sees five residential break-ins a week. Here's why good numbers breed bad habits.

Merseyside Police announced in April 2025 that residential burglaries across the region have dropped 56% since Operation Castle launched in 2018. A separate analysis published by SJL Insurance in June 2025 went further, ranking Merseyside first in England and Wales for improvement. First in the whole country. That's a genuinely impressive number and the officers who've been doing the legwork on Operation Castle deserve the credit.

But here's what I've seen happen every single time good crime figures land. People read the headline, feel relieved, and quietly let things slip.

That's the bit nobody's writing about. And it's the bit that will fill my diary in six months.

The Numbers Are Good. The Small Print Isn't.

Five residential burglaries a week. Still. In Liverpool city centre alone, that's the figure Merseyside Police themselves cited alongside the good news. Not across the whole region. The city centre. L1, L2, L3, the streets around the Baltic Triangle, the conversions off Hardman Street. Five a week, in an area where a lot of people have already convinced themselves crime is someone else's problem.

And nationally, fewer than 6% of burglary cases result in charges. That figure hasn't moved much. So if someone does get into your house in Wavertree or Walton or Aigburth, the realistic odds of them facing any consequence are about as long as they get. The falling burglary rate tells you the deterrence is working. It does not tell you anything will happen after the fact if you're unlucky.

That gap matters. Physical security is still your only real guarantee.

Complacency Looks Exactly Like This

I had a job in Kensington a few weeks back. Nice couple, mid-terrace, had a Ultion cylinder fitted about three years ago. Good choice at the time. But they'd also bought a cheap Yale lever-on-backplate for the back door in the meantime, no BS3621 rating, the kind you can buy in a hardware shop for £15. They thought the front was sorted so the back didn't matter as much.

The back door is where most opportunists try first.

This is exactly what falling crime figures do to people's thinking. The front gets the attention because that's where the fear is. The back, the side gate, the patio door with the handle that needs a firm shove, those get ignored because things feel generally safer.

Things feeling safer and things being secured are not the same thing.

What 'Maintaining Good Habits' Actually Means

I'm not going to dress this up as a long list of purchases. Most Liverpool homes that are reasonably secure already have most of what they need. The question is whether what you fitted two or three years ago is still up to it, and whether the rest of the house matches the front door.

A few specifics worth checking:

  • Snap protection on the cylinder. If your front door cylinder isn't TS007 3-star rated or Sold Secure Diamond approved, it can be snapped in seconds. Avocet ABS, Ultion, Mul-T-Lock are the brands I'd fit. An upgrade runs around £80 to £120 fitted. That's it.
  • The back or side door lock. It needs to meet BS3621 at minimum. If it's a uPVC door with a multipoint lock, check the cylinder on that too. GU, Fuhr, and Winkhaus mechanisms are solid but the cylinder sitting in the barrel can still be the weak point.
  • Keyless entry fobs and relay theft. More relevant for cars than houses, but if your smart lock or garage remote uses a signal that can be cloned or relayed, a Faraday pouch is a £10 fix. I see it overlooked constantly.
  • Doorbell footage. If you've got a video doorbell and you capture something suspicious, Merseyside Police's Operation Castle portal accepts uploads directly. Use it. It's one of the reasons the figures have improved and it costs you nothing.

The Opinion

Falling burglary rates are a reason to feel encouraged about what the community and the police have built together since 2018. They are not a reason to downgrade your locks, stop checking the back door, or assume your neighbourhood has turned a corner that makes the basics optional.

The 56% drop happened because people stayed alert and kept the pressure on. The moment that alertness fades, so does the number. That's how these cycles work. I've been doing this job long enough to have watched it happen before.

Credit where it's due to Operation Castle. Now don't blow it by getting lazy.

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If you're not sure whether your locks are up to standard, or you want a second opinion on a door that's been worrying you, Liverpool Locksmith Services covers the full Liverpool area and all L postcodes. Average arrival under 30 minutes where possible, and we'll give you an honest price on the phone before anyone drives out.

Source: Merseyside burglary rates drop as police strategy yields results | Merseyside Police

Steve Marsh, Lead locksmith

Steve has been on the tools in and around Liverpool for over two decades. He has fitted, drilled, picked and sworn at most locks ever sold in the L postcodes, and he has strong opinions about nearly all of them.

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The three I fit most often are Avocet ABS, Ultion, and Mul-T-Lock MT5+. All carry TS007 3-star and Sold Secure Diamond certification. Fitted cost in Liverpool is typically £80 to £120 depending on cylinder size. Avoid anything sold as 'high security' without a TS007 3-star mark on the packaging, that mark is the thing that matters, not the marketing.

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